U.S. Open 2020 odds: Who's Dustin Johnson's biggest threat to win with Brooks Koepka out?


Ben Jared

Golf fans will notice a handful of familiar and unfamiliar facets of this week’s 2020 U.S. Open. Of course, the date and timing on the schedule are unfamiliar—this is the first U.S. Open to be held in September since 1913 when Francis Ouimet won as an amateur at Brookline. Winged Foot will be the first of two U.S. Opens scheduled to take place in this unique season, with the 2021 edition will take place at Torrey Pines in June. A familiar face will be absent at Winged Foot, as Brooks Koepka withdrew last week with an injury that forced him out of the FedEx Cup.

It won’t be a familiar sight with Brooks Koepka not near the top of a major leader board. That not only boosted Dustin Johnson’s odds from 9-1 to 8-1 at most sportsbooks (even lower at other books), but it also brought the odds of contenders Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy and Collin Morikawa a little shorter. Who poses the biggest threat to DJ and his hot end-of-the-summer run that includes three tournament wins and a FedEx Cup title? Oddsmakers say it’s Jon Rahm, and that’s probably a good bet. In the two most difficult events since the PGA Tour returned in June (the Memorial and the BMW Championship), Rahm took the title both times (albeit over DJ in a playoff at the BMW). Rahm is eyeing his first major title, and with an ultra-challenging test promised at Winged Foot, he’s rightfully one of the favorites.

That’s a sight that will familiar this week: Winged Foot Golf Club, hosting the U.S. Open for a sixth time in club history. The West course is one of the classic major sites in golf, and it promises to play really tough at a par 70 and more than 7,400 yards, having been lengthened over 200 yards since the 2006 U.S. Open. The rough is long and the fairways are tight, but the challenge doesn’t end tee-to-green. Winged Foot’s greens are some of the most diabolical in golf.

The U.S. Open will likely reward the player with the most complete game this week, and that’s a familiar narrative for golf fans. Here’s who oddsmakers think has the best chance this week.

U.S. Open 2020 odds: (per BetMGM)

Dustin Johnson: 8-1 (bet $10 to win $80)

Jon Rahm: 10-1 (bet $10 to win $100)

Justin Thomas: 14-1

Rory McIlroy: 14-1

Xander Schauffele: 16-1

Collin Morikawa: 18-1

Bryson DeChambeau: 22-1

Webb Simpson: 25-1

Daniel Berger: 28-1

Patrick Cantlay: 28-1

Hideki Matsuyama: 33-1

Tony Finau: 33-1

Patrick Reed: 35-1

Tommy Fleetwood: 35-1

Adam Scott: 40-1

Jason Day: 40-1

Justin Rose: 40-1

Tyrrell Hatton: 40-1

Tiger Woods: 45-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick: 50-1

Paul Casey: 50-1

Rickie Fowler: 50-1

Viktor Hovland: 50-1

Matthew Wolff: 60-1

Harris English: 66-1

Louis Oosthuizen: 66-1

Sungjae Im: 70-1

Abraham Ancer: 80-1

Gary Woodland: 80-1

Shane Lowry: 80-1

Kevin Kisner: 90-1

Brendon Todd: 100-1

Bubba Watson: 100-1

Joaquin Niemann: 100-1

Jordan Spieth: 100-1

Martin Kaymer: 100-1

Matt Kuchar: 100-1

Phil Mickelson: 100-1

Si-Woo Kim: 100-1

Billy Horschel: 125-1

Cameron Champ: 125-1

Henrik Stenson: 125-1

Ian Poulter: 125-1

Lee Westwood: 125-1

Marc Leishman: 125-1

Rasmus Hojgaard : 125-1

Sergio Garcia: 125-1

Thomas Pieters: 125-1

Alex Noren: 150-1

Bernd Wiesberger: 150-1

Byeong Hun An: 150-1

Cameron Smith: 150-1

Chez Reavie: 150-1

Jason Kokrak: 150-1

Kevin Na: 150-1

Mackenzie Hughes: 150-1

Ryan Palmer: 150-1

Sebastian Munoz: 150-1

Will Zalatoris: 150-1

Branden Grace: 150-1

Corey Conners: 175-1

Danny Willett: 175-1

Matt Wallace: 175-1

Zach Johnson: 175-1

Brian Harman: 200-1

Christian Bezuidenhout: 200-1

Erik Van Rooyen: 200-1

Joel Dahmen: 200-1

Lanto Griffin: 200-1

Sam Horsfield: 200-1

Thomas Detry: 200-1

Tom Lewis: 200-1

Adam Hadwin: 200-1

Andy Sullivan: 250-1

Brandon Wu: 250-1

Brandt Snedeker: 250-1

Keegan Bradley: 250-1

Kevin Streelman: 250-1

Mark Hubbard: 250-1

Matthias Schwab: 250-1

Michael Thompson: 250-1

Sami Valimaki: 250-1

Victor Perez: 250-1

Charles Howell III: 300-1

Connor Syme: 300-1

Danny Lee: 300-1

Eddie Pepperell: 300-1

Graeme McDowell: 300-1

Justin Harding: 300-1

Lucas Glover: 300-1

Max Homa: 300-1

Michael Lorenzo Vera: 300-1

Paul Waring: 300-1

Rafa Cabrera-Bello: 300-1

Richy Werenski: 300-1

Robert Macintyre: 300-1

Romain Langasque: 300-1

Ryan Fox: 300-1

Takumi Kanaya: 300-1

Tyler Duncan: 300-1

J.T. Poston: 350-1

Troy Merritt: 350-1

Adrian Otaegui: 400-1

Chesson Hadley: 400-1

Davis Riley: 400-1

Davis Thompson: 400-1

Jim Herman: 400-1

Jimmy Walker: 400-1

Kurt Kitayama: 400-1

Lee Hodges: 400-1

Matt Jones: 400-1

Renato Paratore: 400-1

Shugo Imahira: 400-1

Steve Stricker: 400-1

Sung Kang: 400-1

Taylor Pendrith: 400-1

Adam Long: 500-1

Andrew Putnam: 500-1

Curtis Luck: 500-1

Denny McCarthy: 500-1

Greyson Sigg: 500-1

Jazz Janewattananond: 500-1

Lucas Herbert: 500-1

Paul Barjon: 500-1

Ryo Ishikawa: 500-1

Shaun Norris: 500-1

Stephan Jaeger: 500-1

Chan Kim: 750-1

Cole Hammer: 750-1

JC Ritchie: 750-1

John Pak: 750-1

Scott Hend: 750-1

Andy Ogletree: 1,000-1

Chun-An Yu: 1,000-1

Eduard Rousaud: 1,000-1

James Sugrue: 1,000-1

John Augenstein: 1,000-1

Lucas Michel: 1,000-1

Preston Summerhays: 1,000-1

Ricky Castillo: 1,000-1

Sandy Scott: 1,000-1

Marty Jertson: 2,000-1

Danny Balin: 3,000-1

Ryan Vermeer: 3,000-1

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