Bad Beats

Collin Morikawa's live betting odds during his Kapalua collapse were even crazier than you think

January 09, 2023

Tracy Wilcox

In his incredible young career, Collin Morikawa has drawn comparisons to some of the game's all-time greats, including Tiger Woods. But on Sunday evening at Kapalua, he more closely resembled the Atlanta Falcons. The Super Bowl LI Atlanta Falcons to be exact.

Morikawa entered the final round of the Sentry Tournament of Champions with a seemingly insurmountable six-shot lead that grew to seven with a birdie to begin his final round. In fact, he birdied three of his first five holes and remained in complete control heading to the back nine. But then the proverbial wheels fell off.

After not having a single blemish on his scorecard the first 67 holes of the event, Morikawa stunned everyone by bogeying three consecutive holes. Paired with Jon Rahm's sizzling 63 and you have one of the craziest comebacks in PGA Tour history. Make that sports history, really. Check out Morikawa's live odds throughout his final round:

Yep, that's -20000 as in MINUS 20 THOUSAND. Meaning to win $100 on Morikawa at that point for winning the tournament, you would have had to risk $20,000. In other words, this was a lock. Or, about as big of a lock as one could imagine.

Those odds via GolfBet compute to Morikawa having a 99.5 percent chance to win. Which is actually higher than the 98.7 percent chance ESPN gave the aforementioned Atlanta Falcons when they had their now infamous 28-3 lead late in the third quarter against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Ouch.

Well, ouch if you bet on Morikawa. Especially if you bet on him live during Sunday's final round. If you live bet on Rahm, who at one point got to as high as 80-to-1 odds, you're feeling pretty darn good right now.