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Memorial Tournament 2021 odds: Who has the best chance to win at a renovated Muirfield Village?

Jamie Squire

May 31, 2021

The Memorial Tournament is one of the most familiar sights on the PGA Tour schedule. But it will look a little different in 2021. Jack Nicklaus oversaw a significant renovation over the past year at Muirfield Village after last year’s back-to-back events—and the players will see the results this week for the 2021 Memorial.

Nicklaus added and shifted a bunch of tees, added, removed and relocated bunkers, expanded some fairways and narrowed others, added trees (yes, a course that is adding trees) and expanded, relocated and even recontoured green complexes—all large scale changes at the No. 15-ranked course on Golf Digest’s latest America’s 100 Greatest rankings. Still, the character of Muirfield Village will remain unchanged, and the Dublin, Ohio layout remains Nicklaus’ seminal layout in his esteemed design career.

The course remains one of the toughest tests of the year—a second-shot course that will challenge the game’s best this week. It’s another great field, as defending champion Jon Rahm (10-1) leads the odds board at this invitational event. Seven of the top-10 and 16 of the top-25 ranked players in the world will compete for the trophy at Jack’s event. It'll take superior approach play this week—here are the top-five players in this field over the past 24 rounds in strokes gained/approach, per Fantasy National: No. 1 Collin Morikawa (16-1); No. 2 Charley Hoffman (50-1); No. 3 Emiliano Grillo (60-1); No. 4 Stewart Cink (100-1); No. 5 Jordan Spieth (14-1). But it'll take a complete game to navigate Nicklaus' renovated, 7,500-plus yard track.

Here’s a complete list of odds for the 2021 Memorial Tournament (as of Monday evening, odds courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook):

Jon Rahm: 10-1

Rory McIlroy: 14-1

Jordan Spieth: 14-1

Collin Morikawa: 16-1

Bryson DeChambeau: 16-1

Justin Thomas: 16-1

Viktor Hovland: 18-1

Patrick Cantlay: 22-1

Xander Schauffele: 22-1

Tony Finau: 25-1

Hideki Matsuyama: 25-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick: 33-1

Corey Conners: 33-1

Patrick Reed: 33-1

Scottie Scheffler: 35-1

Sam Burns: 40-1

Cameron Smith: 40-1

Shane Lowry: 40-1

Joaquin Niemann: 40-1

Louis Oosthuizen: 40-1

Sungjae Im: 50-1

Keegan Bradley: 50-1

Charley Hoffman: 50-1

Billy Horschel: 55-1

Gary Woodland: 55-1

Jason Day: 60-1

Kevin Streelman: 60-1

Emiliano Grillo: 60-1

Marc Leishman: 60-1

Rickie Fowler: 60-1

Adam Scott: 60-1

Bubba Watson: 66-1

Russell Henley: 80-1

Cameron Tringale: 80-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout: 80-1

Matt Wallace: 80-1

Matt Jones: 90-1

Matt Kuchar: 100-1

Charl Schwartzel: 100-1

Kyle Stanley: 100-1

Si-Woo Kim: 100-1

Troy Merritt: 100-1

Stewart Cink: 100-1

Brendon Todd: 100-1

Patton Kizzire: 100-1

Max Homa: 100-1

Chris Kirk: 100-1

Alex Noren: 125-1

Charles Howell III: 125-1

Carlos Ortiz: 125-1

Sebastian Munoz: 125-1

Doug Ghim: 125-1

Harold Varner III: 125-1

Branden Grace: 125-1

Aaron Wise: 125-1

Talor Gooch: 150-1

Victor Perez: 150-1

Cameron Davis: 150-1

Adam Hadwin: 150-1

Lucas Glover: 150-1

Luke List: 150-1

C.T. Pan: 150-1

K.H. Lee: 150-1

Matthew NeSmith: 150-1

Russell Knox: 150-1

Joel Dahmen: 150-1

Danny Willett: 175-1

Brendan Steele: 175-1

Doc Redman: 175-1

Harry Higgs: 175-1

Wyndham Clark: 200-1

Sepp Straka: 200-1

Henrik Norlander: 200-1

Cameron Champ: 200-1

Dylan Frittelli: 200-1

Mackenzie Hughes: 200-1

Padraig Harrington: 200-1

Lanto Griffin: 200-1

Camilo Villegas: 200-1

Martin Laird: 200-1

Antoine Rozner: 250-1

Richy Werenski: 250-1

Byeong Hun An: 250-1

Patrick Rodgers: 250-1

J.T. Poston: 250-1

Denny McCarthy: 250-1

Rafa Cabrera Bello: 250-1

Michael Thompson: 250-1

Tom Hoge: 250-1

Danny Lee: 300-1

James Hahn: 300-1

Nick Taylor: 300-1

Adam Long: 300-1

Jason Dufner: 300-1

Takumi Kanaya: 300-1

Robert Streb: 350-1

Jamie Lovemark: 350-1

Mark Hubbard: 400-1

David Lingmerth: 400-1

J.B. Holmes: 400-1

Bo Hoag: 400-1

Lucas Herbert: 400-1

Sung Kang: 400-1

Brandon Hagy: 400-1

Peter Malnati: 400-1

Hudson Swafford: 500-1

K.J. Choi: 500-1

Robby Shelton: 500-1

Brian Gay: 500-1

Tyler Duncan: 500-1

Ty Strafaci: 500-1

Vaughn Taylor: 500-1

Haotong Li: 500-1

William McGirt: 500-1

Xinjun Zhang: 500-1

Sahith Theegala: 500-1

Joe Long: 500-1

Jim Herman: 500-1

Tyler McCumber: 500-1

Chase Johnson: 1,000-1