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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play 2021 odds: Is Justin Thomas the man to beat in Austin?

Ben Jared

March 22, 2021

The past couple of days of NCAA March Madness have wetted our appetite for golf’s version.

The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play commences on Wednesday (fill out your brackets or get your bets in accordingly!), and the field is star-studded, as you’d expect for a WGC. All 10 of the top-10 ranked players in the world will tee it up at Austin Country Club, which hosts the match-play event for a fifth time. Your previous winners: Kevin Kisner (2019); Bubba Watson (2018); Dustin Johnson (2017) and Jason Day (2016). Absent are Brooks Koepka, who confirmed his knee surgery Sunday; Adam Scott, Justin Rose, Gary Woodland and Tiger Woods.

Following a weaker field at the Honda Classic last week, we’re ready to watch the world’s best compete, particularly in the rare instance of match-play competition on the PGA Tour. Justin Thomas, following his electrifying win at The Players two weeks ago, is the slight favorite over Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau and Dustin Johnson. This marks the first week since the 2020 Northern Trust someone not named Dustin Johnson has been the favorite in events DJ has teed it up in.

Of course, this week's unique format—which starts with groups of four until the winner advances to the bracket-style finale—provides some different betting opportunities. Check out our Joel Beall's group breakdowns here, and see the odds below and the group winners below that.

WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play 2021 odds (Courtesy of William Hill)

Justin Thomas: 12-1

Jon Rahm: 14-1

Bryson DeChambeau: 14-1

Dustin Johnson: 14-1

Rory McIlroy: 20-1

Collin Morikawa: 22-1

Sungjae Im: 25-1

Patrick Reed: 25-1

Jordan Spieth: 25-1

Paul Casey: 25-1

Patrick Cantlay: 28-1

Viktor Hovland: 28-1

Xander Schauffele: 28-1

Tony Finau: 28-1

Webb Simpson: 28-1

Daniel Berger: 28-1

Tyrrell Hatton: 33-1

Jason Day: 35-1

Cameron Smith: 35-1

Louis Oosthuizen: 40-1

Sergio Garcia: 40-1

Hideki Matsuyama: 40-1

Joaquin Niemann: 40-1

Scottie Scheffler: 40-1

Will Zalatoris: 40-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick: 40-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout: 50-1

Jason Kokrak: 50-1

Lee Westwood: 50-1

Corey Conners: 50-1

Kevin Kisner: 50-1

Abraham Ancer: 50-1

Tommy Fleetwood: 50-1

Russell Henley: 66-1

Si-Woo Kim: 66-1

Ryan Palmer: 70-1

Max Homa: 70-1

Brian Harman: 70-1

Billy Horschel: 80-1

Matt Wallace: 80-1

Shane Lowry: 80-1

Harris English: 80-1

Bubba Watson: 80-1

Lanto Griffin: 80-1

Brendon Todd: 100-1

Marc Leishman: 100-1

Carlos Ortiz: 100-1

Matthew Wolff: 100-1

Kevin Na: 100-1

Ian Poulter: 100-1

Victor Perez: 100-1

Robert MacIntyre: 125-1

Talor Gooch: 125-1

Matt Kuchar: 125-1

Kevin Streelman: 150-1

Sebastian Munoz: 150-1

J.T. Poston: 150-1

Antoine Rozner: 150-1

Dylan Frittelli: 150-1

Erik Van Rooyen: 150-1

Bernd Wiesberger: 150-1

Mackenzie Hughes: 200-1

Andy Sullivan: 200-1

Adam Long: 250-1

Odds by group (courtesy of William Hill):

Group 1:

Dustin Johnson (-120)

Kevin Na (+333)

Robert MacIntyre (+400)

Adam Long (+600)

Group 2:

Justin Thomas (+125)

Louis Oosthuizen (+275)

Kevin Kisner (+300)

Matt Kuchar (+500)

Group 3:

Jon Rahm (-120)

Ryan Palmer (+333)

Shane Lowry (+400)

Sebastian Munoz (+550)

Group 4:

Collin Morikawa (+125)

Max Homa (+275)

Billy Horschel (+300)

J.T. Poston (+500)

Group 5:

Bryson DeChambeau (+100)

Tommy Fleetwood (+260)

Si-Woo Kim (+350)

Antoine Rozner (+650)

Group 6:

Xander Schauffele (+125)

Jason Day (+240)

Scottie Scheffler (+275)

Andy Sullivan (+650)

Group 7:

Patrick Reed (+138)

Joaquin Niemann (+240)

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+350)

Bubba Watson (+400)

Group 8:

Tyrrell Hatton (+188)

Sergio Garcia (+200)

Lee Westwood (+275)

Matt Wallace (+450)

Group 9:

Paul Casey (+150)

Webb Simpson (+200)

Talor Gooch (+350)

Mackenzie Hughes (+450)

Group 10:

Patrick Cantlay (+125)
Hideki Matsuyama (+225)

Brian Harman (+400)

Carlos Ortiz (+450)

Group 11:

Rory McIlroy (+125)

Cameron Smith (+250)

Ian Poulter (+350)

Lanto Griffin (+450)

Group 12:

Tony Finau (+150)

Will Zalatoris (+240)

Jason Kokrak (+275)

Dylan Frittelli (+500)

Group 13:

Viktor Hovland (+125)

Abraham Ancer (+250)

Bernd Wiesberger (+400)

Kevin Streelman (+400)

Group 14:

Daniel Berger (+125)

Harris English (+275)

Brendon Todd (+350)

Erik Van Rooyen (+400)

Group 15:

Jordan Spieth (+175)

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+225)

Corey Conners (+300)

Matthew Wolff (+400)

Group 16:

Sungjae Im (+175)

Russell Henley (+250)

Victor Perez (+300)

Marc Leishman (+333)