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Betting Analysis

Valspar Championship picks 2024: We love these 5 prop bets this week

Editor's Note: This article is published in partnership with Read The Line, a Golf Digest content partner.


David Cannon

It was better than most, as we were up nearly three units for the column. It would've been a few more if our friend Christopher Powers didn't go 0-for-3, but we digress. Regardless, you don't care about last week. Just give me some winners, you say? You got it!

Take Doug Ghim to finish in the top 20 (+225 BetRivers)


Minas Panagiotakis

Doug Ghim is coming off five straight top 16 results on the PGA TOUR. A streak that extends all the way back to the Farmers Insurance Open in January. Always known as an incredible ball striker, Scottie’s Scheffler’s college teammate has found his flatstick. Ghim has gained positive strokes on the putting green in four of his last five starts. Watch Doug deal again in Tampa and continue the streak of starts in the top 20. --Keith Stewart, Read The Line

Take Maverick McNealy to finish in the top 40 (+115 FanDuel)

Even with an even par Sunday at The Players, Maverick McNealy still finished inside the top 10. In his last five starts, McNealy is gaining an average of six strokes against the field. Where Maverick might miss on approach, he more than makes up for with around the green skill and a fantastic flatstick. He’s finished top 40 in five of his past six starts and coming off a career-best Players. --KS

Nick Taylor (+320) to finish top 20 (and ties) (Bet365)


David Cannon

The Canadian is on an absolute tear. He recently won at the WM Phoenix Open last month on greens with a similar agronomy. He had a nice week at The Players before imploding (as you do) on the weekend. Plus, Taylor was T-10 here last year, so he returns to a course where he has a ton of experience (it's his ninth time playing) in his best form. Book it. --Stephen Hennessey, deputy managing editor 

3-ball Round 1 matchup: Jimmy Stanger (+115) over Norman Xiong and Pierceson Coody (Bet365)


Andy Lyons

Stanger has been on an absolute tear in his rookie season on tour. Twenty of his first 24 rounds on the PGA Tour have been even-par or better—with 15 of those rounds being in the 60s. I think his floor might even be good enough to cash this. Coody is 140th in this field in driving accuracy and 128th in SG/total over the past three months, per BetSperts.com. Xiong's numbers in those categories are better, but the former Oklahoma product is 136th in this field in par-3 average, which is crucial with five par 3s at Innisbrook. Give me the red-hot Stanger here. --SH

Take Megan Khang to finish in the top 10 (+290 bet365)


Julio Aguilar

No this is not a misprint. At Read The Line, I cover the PGA Tour and the LPGA Tour. The ladies are playing in Los Angeles at Palos Verdes Golf Club for the third year in a row. Megan Khang is the only player in the field over the past two years to finish inside the top 13. Her unbelievable accuracy off the tee and on approach has her ranked third T2G. Weekend weather is going to cause havoc for the LPGA and Khang possesses a third ranked SG:ARG as well. Expand your betting card and let Megan make you some money this week. --KS

Watch the below video for my best bets for the 2024 Valspar Championship and the LPGA Tour's FIR HILLS SERI PAK Championship:

Keith Stewart is a five-time award-winning PGA professional, a betting contributor and content partner with Golf Digest and founder of Read The Line, the premier on-site live golf betting insights service covering the LPGA and PGA TOUR. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter here and raise your golf betting acumen. Keith's winning content can also be found on Sports Grid, Bleacher Report and The Sporting News. Follow him on Twitter @readtheline_.