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BMW Championship 2021 odds: Jon Rahm still a huge favorite coming off final-round stumble

August 24, 2021

Stacy Revere

If any player was to stop the PGA Tour's string of 54-hole leaders not closing the deal, it was going to be Jon Rahm on Monday at The Northern Trust. The U.S. Open champion is one of the better closers in the sport, and without much of an early push from any of the chasers, he appeared primed to run away at Liberty National.

But a few short missed birdie putts and some shaky driving down the stretch from Rahm, plus an incredible back-nine charge from Tony Finau, changed things dramatically. Rahm wound up missing out on a playoff by two strokes, while Finau went on to edge out Cameron Smith on the first hole of sudden death, snapping a five-year win drought.

Despite the final-roudn stumble, Rahm is back atop odds boards again at the BMW Championship, and this time at an even shorter number than he went off at a week ago. Consensus odds have Rahm at +570 to win outright, with the next closest name, Xander Schauffele, at +1493. Justin Thomas, who tied for fourth at Liberty National, is next at +1813. 

Next up is Jordan Spieth, who had one of the more head-scratching weeks of his comeback season in New Jersey. After opening with a one-over 72, he followed with an electric nine-under 62 that featured a pair of eagles. His final 36 holes, however, were disastrous, punctuated by a Monday 79 that dropped him into 73rd place, two spots shy of dead last. This week, he's fourth on the odds board, with a consensus outright number of +1960. 

Here are all the odds (updated in real-time, thanks to our friends at Metabet) for the 2021 BMW Championship: