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U.S. Open 2025: Power rankings for the entire field at Oakmont
More than 1,300 players have competed in a U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club and 2 percent have finished four rounds under par. Oakmont is golf’s greatest test.
The fabled Pittsburgh-area course held its first U.S. Open in 1927. Ninety-eight years later, the USGA is back for a record 10th time hosting the national championship. Though you might disagree with where a golfer sits in these U.S. Open power rankings, please don’t get misled. The golf course has all the power this week. Twenty-seven golfers have finished under par in nine previous U.S. Opens. If the conditions stay dry, any player will take one under par on Thursday before he starts.
In an age where scoring records and equipment rollbacks dominate headlines, get prepared for some good old-fashioned golf. There are no tricks at one of America’s greatest all-around tests. The par-70 scorecard measures 7,372 yards. You won’t find any water or penalty areas around this landscape, just grass grown to mind-melting heights, some of the toughest putting surfaces and the most puzzling hazards in the sport, including 168 bunkers—none more famous than the church pews between the third and fourth holes. That one bunker measures more than 100 yards long and 40 yards wide!
I couldn’t think of a better venue to back up our current class of 2025 major winners. If the trend is our friend, then Father’s Day should be something very special.
Key:
- Age: Most majors are won by players in their 20s and 30s. Always good to keep track of any birthday milestones.
- Odds to win: These are the futures odds listed for each player prior to Monday of tournament week on DraftKings.
- Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) value: The posted price for each competitor on DraftKings.
- OWGR/Data Golf: Let’s face the facts, the OWGR is incomplete. Jon Rahm is ranked 76th in the world. To give us a better top-line view of player performance, I included the Data Golf rankings. (All rankings are as of the Week of June 2.)
- 2024 U.S. Open: How did each player fare last year at Pinehurst No. 2?
- U.S. Open appearances/cuts made: The number of times a player has competed in the national championship, along with the number of successful cuts made.
- Best U.S. Open finish: Again, another quick reference tool. What do Harris English, Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele have in common? Keep reading to find out!
- Notes: A quick summary for each player from 30 down to pique or deter your interest in their chances to win or play well in the 125th U.S. Open.
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Nos. 126 and beyond
Qualifying for the U.S. Open is no small task. A record 10,202 players attempted to earn a spot at Oakmont. To capture the dream, one can be any age, you just have to perform. Justin Hicks qualified at 50 years old for his second U.S. Open at Oakmont (Hicks played in 2016), while another qualifier, Mason Howell, turns 18 in two weeks!
Phillip Barbaree Jr., Brady Calkins, Trevor Cone, Roberto Diaz, George Duangmanee, Trevor Gutschewski (a), Grant Haefner, Frankie Harris (a), Joey Herrera, Justin Hicks, Mason Howell (a), Noah Kent (a), George Kneiser, Jinchiro Kozuma, Bryan Lee, Riley Lewis, Maxwell Moldovan, James Nicholas, Harrison Ott, Trent Phillips, Zachery Pollo (a), Lance Simpson (a), Cameron Tankersley (a), Austen Truslow, Matt Vogt (a)
Nos. 101-125
Imagine being in a horrific car accident six days before your final qualifying? That’s what happened to Korn Ferry Tour player Alistair Docherty. Docherty qualified at the Duke University Golf Club by shooting 72-64 on Golf’s Longest Day. We know Oakmont will require some serious mental fortitude, and with Docherty's last two weeks, he just might be more prepared than others.
Will Chandler, who contended at the WM Phoenix Open earlier this year, shot a 63 in the second round of the final qualifier in Georgia to qualify for his first U.S. Open.
Jonathan Bachman
101. Jacques Kruyswijk, 102. Jose Luis Ballester, 103. Alistair Docherty, 104. Laurie Canter, 105. James Hahn, 106. Frederic Lacroix, 107. Tyler Weaver (a), 108. Jackson Buchanan, 109. Nick Dunlap, 110. Lanto Griffin, 111. Ryan McCormick, 112. Adam Schenk, 113. Will Chandler, 114. Emilio Gonzalez, 115. Evan Beck (a), 116. Justin Hastings (a), 117. Andrea Pavan, 118. Yuta Sugiura, 119. Scott Vincent, 120. Zach Bauchou, 121. Alvaro Ortiz, 122. Chandler Blanchet, 123. Kevin Velo, 124. Edoardo Molinari, 125. Joakim Lagergren
Nos. 76-100
Our defending Oakmont U.S. Open champion finds himself in this range along with Phil Mickelson. Mickelson’s five-year exemption for winning the 2021 PGA Championship will come to an end next year. Lefty, a six-time U.S. Open runner-up, has won the other three majors and will be around for years to come. When it comes to the U.S. Open, this will be one of his final attempts at the career Grand Slam. Congratulations to Preston Summerhays, who qualified, but also has another close connection to Oakmont. Summerhays’ uncle Daniel finished eighth in 2016.
76. Marc Leishman, 77. Cam Smith, 78. Dustin Johnson, 79. Jhonattan Vegas, 80. Matt McCarty, 81. Thomas Detry, 82. Matthieu Pavon, 83. Johnny Keefer, 84. Victor Perez, 85. Carlos Ortiz, 86. Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, 87. Jordan Smith, 88. Jackson Koivun (a), 89. Phil Mickelson, 90. Erik van Rooyen, 91. Thriston Lawrence, 92. Sam Stevens, 93. Niklas Norgaard-Moller, 94. Ben James (a), 95. Zac Blair, 96. Chris Gotterup, 97. Guido Migliozzi, 98. Michael La Sasso (a), 99. Eric Cole, 100. Preston Summerhays
Nos. 61-75
Thirty-two players in the field played in the 2016 U.S. Open. Byeong “Ben” Hun An finished 23rd that week. Will those past experiences help these competitors? In this range, Lucas Glover and Tom Hoge sure hope it will, along with An, as they were in the 2016 field as well. The U.S. Open is one of the toughest 36-hole cutlines to safely navigate, and these names find themselves outside that number on our Power Rankings.
Andrew Novak partnered with Ben Griffin to win his first PGA Tour event at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.
Chris Graythen
61. Byeong Hun An, 62. Andrew Novak, 63. Lucas Glover, 64. Nick Taylor, 65. Justin Rose, 66. Emiliano Grillo, 67. Chris Kirk, 68. Rasmus Højgaard, 69. Richard Bland, 70. Nico Echavarria, 71. Cam Davis, 72. Justin Lower, 73. Tom Hoge, 74. Davis Thompson, 75. Brian Campbell
Ranking the top 60 (low 60 and ties make the cut)
60. Gary Woodland
Woodland, the 2019 U.S. Open champion ranks 33rd in Total Driving on the PGA Tour and has a T-2 finish at the Texas Children's Hospital Open earlier this year.
Minas Panagiotakis
Age: 41
Odds to win: 170-1
DFS Value: $6,000
OWGR: 92. Data Golf: 78.
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 14. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: Won (2019)
59. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Age: 31
Odds to win: 200-1
DFS Value: $6,300
OWGR: 67. Data Golf: 83.
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 3. Cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-31 (2021)
58. Mackenzie Hughes
Age: 34
Odds to win: 170-1
DFS Value: $6,200
OWGR: 50. Data Golf: 60.
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 7. Cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-15 (2021)
57. Tom Kim
Age: 22
Odds to win: 170-1
DFS Value: $6,800
OWGR: 49. Data Golf: 100.
2024 U.S. Open: T-26
U.S. Open appearances: 3. Cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-8 (2023)
56. Stephan Jaeger
Age: 36
Odds to win: 200-1
DFS Value: $6,000
OWGR: 48. Data Golf: 62.
2024 U.S. Open: T-21
U.S. Open appearances: 4. Cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-21 (2024)
55. J.J. Spaun
Age: 34
Odds to win: 110-1
DFS Value: $6,700
OWGR: 26. Data Golf: 26.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 1. Cuts made: 0.
Best finish: MC (2021).
54. Michael Kim
Michael Kim's lone U.S. Open made cut came in Pennsylvania, in the 2013 U.S. Open at Merion as an amateur.
Raj Mehta
Age: 31
Odds to win: 150-1
DFS Value: $6,300
OWGR: 52. Data Golf: 43.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-17 (2013)
53. Wyndham Clark
Age: 31
Odds to win: 120-1
DFS Value: $7,000
OWGR: 23. Data Golf: 84.
2024 U.S. Open: T-56
U.S. Open appearances: 4. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: Won (2023)
52. Min Woo Lee
Age: 26
Odds to win: 120-1
DFS Value: $7,100
OWGR: 31. Data Golf: 61.
2024 U.S. Open: T-21
U.S. Open appearances: 3. cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-5 (2023)
51. Thorbjorn Olesen
Age: 35
Odds to win: 150-1
DFS Value: $6,000
OWGR: 82. Data Golf: 46.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 4. Cuts made: 0.
Best finish: MC
50. Mark Hubbard
Age: 36
Odds to win: 350-1
DFS Value: $5,600
OWGR: 113. Data Golf: 93.
2024 U.S. Open: T-50
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-50 (2024)
49. Matt Wallace
Age: 35
Odds to win: 200-1
DFS Value: $6,300
OWGR: 88. Data Golf: 73.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 5. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-12 (2019)
48. Jacob Bridgeman
Age: 25
Odds to win: 250-1
DFS Value: $6,200
OWGR: 65. Data Golf: 69.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances/cuts made: Rookie
Best finish: N/A
47. Ryan Gerard
Age: 25
Odds to win: 170-1
DFS Value: $6,100
OWGR: 70. Data Golf: 48.
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-56 (2023)
46. Sam Bairstow
Sam Bairstow has seven top-20 finishes on the DP World Tour in 2025. He earned a spot in the U.S. Open for a second consecutive year at final qualifying at Walton Heath.
Stuart Franklin
Age: 26
Odds to win: 500-1
DFS Value: $5,900
OWGR: 173. Data Golf: 145.
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 1. Cuts made: 0.
Best finish: MC (2024)
45. Robert MacIntyre
Age: 28
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $6,700
OWGR: 20. Data Golf: 24.
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 3. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-35 (2021)
44. Brooks Koepka
Age: 35
Odds to win: 55-1
DFS Value: $8,200
OWGR: 404. Data Golf: 90.
2024 U.S. Open: T-26
U.S. Open appearances: 11. Cuts made: 10.
Best finish: Won (2017, 2018)
43. Brian Harman
Age: 38
Odds to win: 150-1
DFS Value: $6,500
OWGR: 27. Data Golf: 64.
2024 U.S. Open: T-21
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 7.
Best finish: T-2 (2017)
42. Akshay Bhatia
Age: 23
Odds to win: 120-1
DFS Value: $6,700
OWGR: 29. Data Golf: 32.
2024 U.S. Open: T-16
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-16 (2024)
41. Bud Cauley
Cauley earned a spot in the U.S. Open for the first time since 2017 thanks to being in the top 60 in the World Ranking on Monday. He finished T-6 at the Players and had a solo third two starts ago at Colonial.
Andrew Redington
Age: 35
Odds to win: 170-1
DFS Value: $6,100
OWGR: 56 Data Golf: 52
2024 U.S. Open: T-53
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 7.
Best finish: T-27 (2012)
40. Joe Highsmith
Age: 25
Odds to win: 400-1
DFS Value: $5,500
OWGR: 62 Data Golf: 141
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 1. Cuts made: 0.
Best finish: MC (2021)
39. Davis Riley
Age: 28
Odds to win: 250-1
DFS Value: $6,200
OWGR: 54 Data Golf: 143
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 3. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-31 (2022)
38. J.T. Poston
Age: 32
Odds to win: 120-1
DFS Value: $6,600
OWGR: 38 Data Golf: 36
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 5. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-32 (2024)
37. Matt Fitzpatrick
Age: 30
Odds to win: 100-1
DFS Value: $7,100
OWGR: 79 Data Golf: 51
2024 U.S. Open: T-64
U.S. Open appearances: 10. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: Won (2022)
36. Taylor Pendrith
Age: 34
Odds to win: 110-1
DFS Value: $6,500
OWGR: 36 Data Golf: 31
2024 U.S. Open: T-16
U.S. Open appearances: 4. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-16 (2024)
35. Max Greyserman
Age: 30
Odds to win: 200-1
DFS Value: $6,400
OWGR: 46 Data Golf: 42
2024 U.S. Open: T-21
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-21 (2024)
34. Jason Day
Age: 37
Odds to win: 100-1
DFS Value: $6,900
OWGR: 37 Data Golf: 40
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 12. Cuts made: 8.
Best finish: T-2 (2011, 2013)
33. Adam Scott
Age: 44
Odds to win: 150-1
DFS Value: $6,600
OWGR: 41 Data Golf: 45
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 23. Cuts made: 14.
Best finish: T-4 (2015)
32. Maverick McNealy
McNealy, the former college player of the year at Stanford, is competing in his first U.S. Open as a professional.
Ross Kinnaird
Age: 29
Odds to win: 100-1
DFS Value: $6,800
OWGR: 11 Data Golf: 28
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 0.
Best finish: MCs (2014, 2017)
31. Tony Finau
Age: 35
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $7,300
OWGR: 40 Data Golf: 34
2024 U.S. Open: T-3
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 5.
Best finish: T-3 (2024)
30. Si Woo Kim
Age: 29
Odds to win: 80-1
DFS Value: $6,900
OWGR: 58 Data Golf: 20
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 8. Cuts made: 4.
Best finish: T-13 (2017)
Kim had a rough start at the U.S. Open, missing four cuts in his first six starts. Considering Kim’s accuracy off the tee and short game, one can see why he has finished inside the top 40 in his last two turns at the U.S. Open.
29. Sungjae Im
Age: 27
Odds to win: 100-1
DFS Value: $7,000
OWGR: 22 Data Golf: 29
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 6. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: 22 (2020)
Which Im will we see this week in Pittsburgh? The South Korean has missed the cut in four of his past six majors. That being said, he finished fifth at Augusta National in April and top 25 in his past three signature starts.
28. Aaron Rai
Age: 30
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $6,400
OWGR: 30 Data Golf: 39
2024 U.S. Open: T-19
U.S. Open appearances: 2. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-19 (2024)
Rai makes a ton of sense this week. Accuracy will be a huge asset at Oakmont. Rai’s ball-striking has served him very well in recent majors, making the cut in five straight and capturing three straight top-30s in the Players, Masters and PGA this season.
27. Patrick Reed
Reed finished third at this year's Masters and has five career top-20s finishes at the U.S. Open.
Ross Kinnaird
Age: 34
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $6,900
OWGR: 55 Data Golf: 35
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 10. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: 4 (2018)
Previous Oakmont U.S. Open leader boards are littered with short-game specialists, and I cannot think of a better major contender around the green than Reed. Not to mention, the only cut he has missed at a U.S. Open was Oakmont in 2016! We all know Reed will play with a little extra motivation this week to make up for his one blemish on a rather strong U.S. Open résumé.
26. Cameron Young
Age: 28
Odds to win: +15000
DFS Value: $6,500
OWGR: 66 Data Golf: 88
US Open 2024: T-67
US Open appearances: 5. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-32 (2023)
Young’s last week is impressive and warrants our attention: He finished fourth at the RBC Canadian Open with a chance to join the playoff with a birdie on 18 (he bogeyed), still carding a 65. Young also birdied three of his last four holes in his U.S. Open qualifier and bested Max Homa, Rickie Fowler, Eric Cole and Chase Johnson in a five-for-one playoff. He also had a top 25 at the Memorial. If momentum counts in golf, Young has a ton of it.
25. Daniel Berger
Age: 32
Odds to win: 80-1
DFS Value: $6,800
OWGR: 28 Data Golf: 27
2024 U.S. Open: T-21
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 7.
Best finish: T-6 (2018)
Between February and mid-May, Berger ripped off nine straight top-30 finishes. Berger’s game was in 2021 form, and we all knew a win was coming. Now, he heads to Oakmont on the back of two straight missed cuts. His downturn is due to the putter. Considering the insane severity of Oakmont’s green complexes, the best we can hope for is another top 30 from Berger solely based on his ball-striking.
24. Denny McCarthy
Age: 32
Odds to win: 110-1
DFS Value: $6,600
OWGR: 42 Data Golf: 30
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 5. Cuts made: 4.
Best finish: T-7 (2022)
McCarthy’s latest top-10 came at the PGA Championship. Oakmont is going to reward some grinders, and McCarthy is one of the best modern-day par-savers. From the nearby mid-Atlantic in Maryland, McCarthy will be able to putt this northeast Poa and contend for a couple of rounds.
23. Sepp Straka
Age: 32
Odds to win: 40-1
DFS Value: $7,700
OWGR: 7 Data Golf: 10
2024 U.S. Open: T-56
U.S. Open appearances: 4. Cuts made: 2.
Best finish: T-28 (2019)
Everyone is going to bet on Straka this week. After all, only McIlroy, Scheffler, Fox and Griffin have equaled or surpassed his two wins this season. While Rory and Scottie won the first two majors, Straka missed the cut in both. He should be ranked much higher based upon his ball-striking, but until he proves his game is U.S. Open ready, he will be posted outside the top 20 in these rankings.
22. Ben Griffin
In addition to his multiple victories on the PGA Tour this year, Griffin also finished T-8 at last month's PGA Championship, which was his fifth major start.
Sam Hodde
Age: 29
Odds to win: 65-1
DFS Value: $7,200
OWGR: 15 Data Golf: 15
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances/cuts made: Rookie
Best finish: N/A
“So I know I can get it done in one of these signature events and majors, it's just only a matter of time.” That’s how Griffin closed his post-Memorial press conference. After two wins in five weeks on the PGA Tour, we are ready to believe you, Ben. The problem is, our last golfer to win the U.S. Open in his first start was Francis Ouimet in 1913!
21. Tyrrell Hatton
Age: 33
Odds to win: 35-1
DFS Value: $7,600
OWGR: 24 Data Golf: 17
2024 U.S. Open: T-26
U.S. Open appearances: 8. Cuts made: 5.
Best finish: T-6 (2018)
In January, Hatton was ranked eighth in the world. He now sits at 22nd and has two top-10s in eight LIV starts. His talent keeps him in our top 20, but at the PGA Championship, Hatton lost strokes off the tee, on approach and on the green does not bode well for a bigger challenge at Oakmont. Have I mentioned the greens at this venue make players upset?!
20. Jordan Spieth
Age: 31
Odds to win: 60-1
DFS Value: $7,500
OWGR: 45 Data Golf: 22
2024 U.S. Open: T-41
U.S. Open appearances: 13. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: Won (2015)
Spieth’s last top-10 in a major championship was the 2023 Masters. In the nine majors since, he has one result in the top 15 and has not finished a major week within seven shots of the lead. Spieth’s sorcery will always keep him positioned near the top 20 in our Power Rankings, but this recent run of inconsistent form, especially with the irons, has me quite worried about his weekend prospects at Oakmont.
19. Sam Burns
Age: 28
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $7,100
OWGR: 33 Data Golf: 19
2024 U.S. Open: T-9
U.S. Open appearances: 6. Cuts made: 4.
Best finish: T-9 (2024)
You have to love the way Burns’ game is trending. He has been hot lately with five top-20s in his last six starts, including a playoff loss on Sunday at the RBC Canadian Open. A great combination of power and touch, Burns will score this week. He is one of the first guys on this list who could go career nuclear and beat the best at the top. In his last six starts, Burns has been straight fire on the greens, gaining an average of five strokes on the field with his flatstick.
18. Harris English
Age: 35
Odds to win: 90-1
DFS Value: $6,700
OWGR: 18 Data Golf: 25
2024 U.S. Open: T-41
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: 3 (2021)
Look at English. In 14 starts this year, he has a win (Farmers) and six top-25s. He finished runner-up at the PGA Championship and 12th at the Masters, so you must assume he’s primed for another made cut (and more) at the U.S. Open. Of the contenders, English is just one of three guys who have never missed a weekend at the national championship. Looking for a sleeper pick in your neighborhood pool or One & Done contest, pick English.
17. Viktor Hovland
Age: 27
Odds to win: 50-1
DFS Value: $8,500
OWGR: 14 Data Golf: 23
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 6. Cuts made: 3.
Best finish: T-12 (2019)
It’s tough to decipher Viktor Hovland’s 2025. Before winning the Valspar Championship in March, Hovland missed three straight cuts. (A win after he had not played on the weekend in a month and a half.) Following the win, Hovland has three top-25s in five starts. That little stretch of events is a microcosm of Hovland’s major résumé. Twenty-two starts and 10 top-20 results … but outside of those top-20s, the results are all over the place. Take Viktor this week, and it will certainly be feast or famine once again.
16. Russell Henley
Age: 36
Odds to win: 55-1
DFS Value: $7,400
OWGR: 6 Data Golf: 14
2024 U.S. Open: T-7
U.S. Open appearances: 11. Cuts made: 8.
Best finish: T-7 (2024)
Two missed cuts in major championships this season, and Henley has the data-heads up in arms. After all, he finished the 2024 major season with two top-seven finishes and then won the Arnold Palmer Invitational just two months ago. Since that Bay Hill victory, Henley has been on a bit of a roller-coaster. Russell has two top-eight results in signature events and not much else. I like Henley this week to bolster some lineups and be a great “group/tier” selection. Three top-14 finishes in his past four U.S. Opens, and Henley will return at Oakmont.
15. Joaquin Niemann
Niemann earned his fourth win of the season on LIV and recorded his first top-10 at a major at Quail Hollow. Oakmont will mark the 25th major for the 26-year-old.
Alex Goodlett
Age: 26
Odds to win: 30-1
DFS Value: $8,600
OWGR: 77 Data Golf: 8
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 5. Cuts made: 4.
Best finish: T-23 (2020)
Niemann is coming off his best result in a major championship, finishing eighth at Quail Hollow last month. I love that kind of momentum coming into Oakmont. Niemann is a serious ball-striker, and that’s why he has four straight made cuts at the U.S. Open. Build on that positive result from the PGA and a win on Sunday at LIV Virginia (that’s four this season), and I believe Niemann is ready for another “major” step forward in Pittsburgh.
14. Corey Conners
Age: 33
Odds to win: 50-1
DFS Value: $7,300
OWGR: 21 Data Golf: 11
2024 U.S. Open: T-9
U.S. Open appearances: 6. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-9 (2024)
In the last YEAR, Conners has 19 top-25s in his last 26 starts! Conners’ incredible consistency is only marred by the fact that he has not parlayed one (or more) of those events into a win. As you build out your outright card, keep that fact in mind. If you’re looking for a very solid weekend warrior at Oakmont, then Connors is your guy. Need another cool Corey consistency fact? In the last two years, he has lost strokes to the field in just three tournaments!
13. Keegan Bradley
Age: 38
Odds to win: 80-1
DFS Value: $7,400
OWGR: 17 Data Golf: 16
2024 U.S. Open: T-32
U.S. Open appearances: 12. Cuts made: 6.
Best finish: T-4 (2014)
Captain Bradley was paired with two Ryder Cup hopefuls at the PGA Championship, and he beat them both. The truth is, Bradley beat most of the field by finishing eighth and opened up a serious conversation about playing at Bethpage. Bradley just contended at the Memorial, finishing seventh at Muirfield Village. Can he really play in the Ryder Cup and be the captain? Oakmont is a huge week for points, and I wouldn’t count him out. One thing is for sure, I cannot wait to see the pairing …
12. Patrick Cantlay
Age: 33
Odds to win: 40-1
DFS Value: $9,300
OWGR: 16 Data Golf: 12
2024 U.S. Open: T-3
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 9.
Best finish: T-3 (2024)
Cantlay is a top-10 player in the world who has not won in nearly three years. That’s insane. He has nine starts in our national championship and nine made cuts. Cantlay has not posted a U.S. Open finish outside the top 15 since COVID! Can he return to the winner’s circle in golf’s toughest test? The key is going to be his putter. In 2025, Cantlay has been a top-10 driver and approach player. At times, the flatstick has failed him when he needed it most. Three top-13 results in his past four starts, I’m more than interested in the Iceman.
11. Ludvig Åberg
Age: 25
Odds to win: 30-1
DFS Value: $9,600
OWGR: 8 Data Golf: 21
2024 U.S. Open: T-12
U.S. Open appearances: 1. Cuts made: 1.
Best finish: T-12 (2024)
Another enigma: Where has Åberg gone? Winner at the Genesis in February with a closing 66 on Sunday, we have not seen that same player since this week in Canada. Following four rounds in the 60s at TPC Toronto, is Åberg back? That’s a big leap, but it was nice to see Ludvig gain positively in every major strokes-gained category for the first time since the Masters. The driver makes Åberg a threat, but can the iron game and, more importantly, his short game, save him enough at Oakmont to keep him close?
10. Hideki Matsuyama
Age: 33
Odds to win: 50-1
DFS Value: $8,000
OWGR: 9 Data Golf: 18
2024 U.S. Open: 6
U.S. Open appearances: 12. Cuts made: 11.
Best finish: T-2 (2017)
Always under the radar, Matsuyama takes care of business in the U.S. Open. In 12 career starts, Matsuyama has 11 top-35 finishes! The reason it works is that the USGA will tell you the national championship is a complete examination of your skill set. Translation: Bring your short game. Matsuyama is a top five around-the-green player in the world. In a championship where all you have to is survive, Hideki has proven he can handle it.
9. Tommy Fleetwood
Fleetwood has eight career top-10s at majors, including a runner-up at Shinnecock Hills (2018), a fourth at Erin Hills (2017) and a T-5 at LACC (2023).
Stephen Denton
Age: 34
Odds to win: 30-1
DFS Value: $8,800
OWGR: 13 Data Golf: 6
2024 U.S. Open: T-16
U.S. Open appearances: 9. Cuts made: 7.
Best finish: 2 (2018)
Fleetwood cracks the top 10 in our Power Rankings because he is the archetype U.S. Open player. That controlled signature Fleetwood strike has helped him finish in the top five three times in our national championship. In his last 22 starts going back to the Olympics, Fleetwood has finished top 22 or better 20 times! The guy just keeps the ball in play. When the courses get harder, Fleetwood soars to the top of the leaderboard. It won’t get any harder than Oakmont, and that’s why I know Tommy will take a couple people by surprise in Pittsburgh.
8. Shane Lowry
Age: 38
Odds to win: 50-1
DFS Value: $7,800
OWGR: 12 Data Golf: 13
2024 U.S. Open: T-19
U.S. Open appearances: 12. Cuts made: 8.
Best finish: T-2 (2016)
Lowry was the 54-hole leader at the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont by four strokes. In the end, he finished second and learned a valuable lesson—one he eventually showed off in 2019 when he took home the Claret Jug. Similar to his European Ryder Cup teammate Fleetwood, the best time to pick Lowry is on difficult courses. The Irishman has top-10s this year at Innisbrook’s Copperhead course, Bay Hill, Philadelphia Cricket Club and a runner-up finish at Pebble Beach in brutal weather conditions. Four rounds in the 60s at TPC Toronto, and it’s time for the fighting Irish to take on Oakmont again and finish one better.
7. Collin Morikawa
Age: 28
Odds to win: 22-1
DFS Value: $9,800
OWGR: 4 Data Golf: 7
2024 U.S. Open: T-14
U.S. Open appearances: 6. Cuts made: 5.
Best finish: T-4 (2021)
Morikawa started the season with six straight top-20s. Since the Masters, he has not been the same player, grabbing only two more top-20s in his next five starts. Oakmont is a big week for Morikawa. It’s time to turn around this midseason slump and contend on Sunday. I believe he will for two reasons. First, this U.S. Open will reward accuracy. Names like Furyk, Strange, Miller and Maggert have all played well here. Second, Morikawa has been putting well and combined with his iron game, provides the perfect complement for contending.
6. Justin Thomas
Age: 32
Odds to win: 30-1
DFS Value: $9,000
OWGR: 5 Data Golf: 5
2024 U.S. Open: MC
U.S. Open appearances: 10. Cuts made: 6.
Best finish: T-8 (2020)
Thomas is the fifth-ranked player in the world! JT has a signature win at the RBC Heritage and five more top-10s this season. Thomas turned a corner at the Memorial. An 80 in Round 1 was followed by a three under par performance over the final 54 holes. Oakmont is going to play like a tougher version of Muirfield Village, and that’s why I like Thomas to turn some heads. His around-the-green acumen and accuracy on approach are exactly what will be needed to save scores and shoot near even par. Great players like Thomas are going to miss a bunch this week, but few have his ability to recover and that’s why he’s a solid second-tier bet.
5. Jon Rahm
Rahm has now finished inside the top 15 in his past three major starts and returns to Oakmont, where he made his major debut in 2016 (he finished T-23).
Alex Goodlett
Age: 30
Odds to win: 12-1
DFS Value: $10,200
OWGR: 76 Data Golf: 4
2024 U.S. Open: DNP
U.S. Open appearances: 8. Cuts made: 6.
Best finish: Won (2021)
Rahm’s last three major championship starts: eighth at the PGA Championship, 14th at the Masters and seventh at the Open Championship. If you’re not taking Rahm seriously at Oakmont, it’s a mistake. The driver is a weapon for the Spaniard, and with his iron game is on point, Rahm will likely lead the field in GIRs. Just this past week at LIV Virginia, Rahm finished eighth for his 19th straight top-10 in one of their events. 19! Watch that power fade split fairways all week like it did for Cabrera and D.J. I’m pretty sure those two fared well at Oakmont.
4. Xander Schauffele
Age: 31
Odds to win: 18-1
DFS Value: $10,400
OWGR: 3 Data Golf: 9
2024 U.S. Open: T-7
U.S. Open appearances: 8. Cuts made: 8.
Best finish: T-3 (2019)
Schauffele has never missed a cut in the USGA's marquee championship. In his first U.S. Open start (Erin Hills), he finished fifth. Since then, Schauffele added six more top-10s in seven starts. His worst finish in a U.S. Open is T-14! We still haven’t seen peak 2024 Xander, but guess what, we might not. He won TWO majors last year. Oakmont is the exemplary test, and Xander is the most productive U.S. Open player in the field. If you’re looking for ONE player to rival Scottie and Bryson, X marks the spot.
3. Rory McIlroy
Age: 36
Odds to win: +750
DFS Value: $12,400
OWGR: 2 Data Golf: 2
2024 U.S. Open: 2
U.S. Open appearances: 16. Cuts made: 11.
Best finish: Won (2011)
McIlroy does not look ready for a challenge like Oakmont. The new driver was a mess last week, and the tension he’s showing around the media center is palpable. Distractions are difficult during major championship weeks. McIlroy has been able to turn his performance around quickly in his career, but Oakmont is a different animal. I don’t see the sharpness needed to succeed on a course where minor mistakes lead to a double bogey. We will never know how much work McIlroy put into winning the Masters, but what we do see is the toll it has taken on his current game.
2. Bryson DeChambeau
Age: 31
Odds to win: 9-1
DFS Value: $11,000
OWGR: 10 Data Golf: 3
2024 U.S. Open: Won
U.S. Open appearances: 10. Cuts made: 8.
Best finish: Won (2020, 2024)
DeChambeau has not finished higher than fifth in the past two months. Although most will say his length is the reason for his success in majors, I believe it is DeChambeau’s scoring ability from close range. In Bryson’s last eight major starts, he has only lost strokes to the field with his putter or short game ONCE. These are by far the toughest tests these guys play all year, and DeChambeau has proven he can close on and around the greens. I fully expect a four-day duel between Bryson and Scottie and cannot wait to watch every minute of it!
1. Scottie Scheffler
Age: 28
Odds to win: 260
DFS Value: $14,400
OWGR: 1 Data Golf: 1
2024 U.S. Open: T-41
U.S. Open appearances: 7. Cuts made: 5.
Best finish: T-2 (2022)
When’s the last time you can remember Scheffler playing a bad round of golf? He hasn’t turned in a scorecard with a score higher than 72 all year. Scheffler returned from impaling his hand and finished ninth. Scottie led the field in approach play that week at Pebble Beach. One of the last times he shot over par in the past three years, he was arrested the day before. The fact is, Scheffler is somehow getting better. Over his past five starts, Scheffler is gaining an average of 14 strokes on the field. How can you compete with a player who is 3.5 strokes better than you per round? Scheffler is on an amazing run, and the only thing missing is the ability to string a couple of wins together. Oakmont will offer him the opportunity to do just that.
