With his three victories, including a first major championship, Dustin Johnson is already the presumed PGA Tour Player of the Year Award winner. But with one more strong week, he can make a career year much, much better.
Johnson is listed as a 9-to-2 favorite at this week's Tour Championship, according to Westgate Las Vegas Superbook. His Vegas odds for winning the FedEx Cup and taking home the $10 million bonus are even better at 3 to 2. In other words, he's in great shape to win a lot of cash. As the No. 1 player entering the finale, not only is DJ guaranteed the FedEx Cup trophy with a win at East Lake, but a top five in the 30-man field will probably do the trick provided none of the top 10 players win.
It's all very confusing and yes, you will see a lot of Steve Sands writing on that white board, but essentially, here's what you need to know. If any of the top five (Johnson, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott, Jason Day and Paul Casey) wins the Tour Championship, they also win the FedEx Cup.
Behind DJ, Day and Rory McIlroy are the next biggest favorites to win the FedEx Cup at 9 to 2. McIlroy is the second-favorite at East Lake at 11/2 and Day is 15/2. The World No. 1's odds are no doubt hampered by the fact he withdrew before the final round of the BMW Championship with a back injury.
Scott is 6/1 to win the FedEx Cup, Reed is 8/1 and Casey is 10/1. To win at East Lake, they are 9/1, 15/1 and 15/1, respectively. Defending champ Jordan Spieth is 8/1 at the Tour Championship and 10/1 to win the $10 million again.
The biggest long shots to win the Tour Championship? That would be William McGirt and Sean O'Hair, who are both listed as 100/1. Both are also 300/1 to win the FedEx Cup, although at No. 25, O'Hair is in the same position Bill Haas was in when he won the Tour Championship and the FedEx Cup in 2011 (Haas didn't realize he'd won the latter until the trophy ceremony).
According to Westgate, Rickie Fowler is the most surprising player not to make the field at East Lake. Fowler began the season with the fifth-best odds (15/1) of winning the FedEx Cup.
On the flip side, Roberto Castro, who began the season at 250-to-1 odds, is the most surprising to be teeing it up this week. Castro is still a 250/1 long shot, but just his presence in the field guarantees he'll earn about a $300,000 payday even with a last-place finish. Talk about playing with house money.