Wyndham Championship picks 2025: The longshot with the sneaky home-game angle
It's not a major and it's not a siggy, but there may not be a bigger gut-check week on the PGA Tour than Wyndham Championship. Playoff berths are on the line. Careers are on the line. There's heroics and there's heartbreaks. And it all takes place on a classic Donald Ross design. What else do you want, folks?
Well, for starters, some winners, which we hope to provide you at Sedgefield Country Club. Three of our experts are on the same wily veteran, while one of our hottest bettors, the anonymous tour coach, is on a superstar at some juicy odds.
The Golf Digest betting panel is comprised of a tour coach reporting anonymously from the grounds of Sedgefield Country Club, Pat Mayo of Underdog/Mayo Media Network, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel, Andy Lack of the Inside Sports Network, your two authors and Keith Stewart, the CEO of Read The Line. Stewart, our newest member of the panel, is our new betting content partner as well.
Scroll down for our complete betting analysis of the 2025 Wyndham Championship:
Wyndham Championship picks 2025: Our Experts’ Outright Predictions
Anonymous Swing Coach of the Week: Hideki Matsuyama (33-1, FanDuel) — This is a ball-striker's golf course, and in a weaker field, he’s the cream of the crop. Hideki’s coming off a T-13 at the John Deere and a T-16 at The Open with two very strong putting weeks in a row, which is a great sign another victory’s coming for the Japanese star.
Pat Mayo, Underdog/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Lucas Glover (40-1, FanDuel) — I want a win for Glover simply to throw chaos into the U.S. Ryder Cup squad. But he’s also been rather excellent this summer, so a win isn’t too farfetched. Since missing the cut at the U.S. Open, The Glove has a pair of top 10s in jabroni events and sits near the top of the field in accuracy and approach. You just need to hope it’s the week he putts. Simple as that.
Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Keegan Bradley (25-1, FanDuel) — Keegan is—by a pretty big margin—the best tee-to-green golfer in the field over the last 50 rounds, per datagolf. Bradley’s putting needs to improve, yet his ball-striking ceiling puts him at the top of the board for me.
Keith Stewart, PGA, Read The Line: Nicolai Hojgaard (60-1, FanDuel) — In his past three starts, Nicolai Højgaard finished T-24 at the Rocket Classic, T-4 at the Scottish and T-14 at the Open Championship. All key parts of Højgaard’s game are clicking. Nicolai is gaining an average of six strokes on the field over his last five starts tee-to-green and 1.7 strokes with the putter. The Højgaard twins are REALLY talented, and at 71st on the FEC points list, Nicolai is competing for Memphis and a shot at Bethpage Black.
Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest managing editor: Lucas Glover (40-1, FanDuel) — CP sold me on this one. The driving accuracy is elite, the wedge play is elite and the course history is great. The Glove should be licking his chops at Sedgefield for a chance to put himself in the mix for a Ryder Cup bid.
Christopher Powers, Golf Digest senior writer: Lucas Glover (40-1, FanDuel) — Hard not to love Glover at a course that rewards driving accuracy and iron play. Even harder when it’s a course he’s recently won at. Even HARDER when he’s back on the Ryder Cup bubble and likely needs a win (or two) to be seriously in the conversation. A win or two is exactly what he produced two years ago before Zach Johnson left him at home. He should be plenty motivated to run it back and to know that if he somehow pulls off the double dip again there is no chance Keegan Bradley wouldn’t call on him at Bethpage Black, where Glover won the 2009 U.S. Open.
Andy Lack, Inside Sports Network: Christiaan Bezuidenhout (60-1, DraftKings) — I always have interest in Christiaan Bezuidenhout on shorter, positional golf courses that emphasize accuracy over distance. Sedgefield falls into this category, and it should not come as a surprise that Bezuidenhout has made all of his cuts in four appearances at the Donald Ross design, although he has yet to contend for a victory. I believe that changes this week, as the South African is heading to Greensboro on the heels of three top 20 finishes in his last six starts, which includes top 15s at the U.S. Open and Scottish Open, both fields that are far stronger than this.
Past results: We have another winner! Our Anonymous Tour Coach yet again correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler to win, this time at the Open Championship. That’s his fifth (!) winner this season. As a group, we now have 11 individual victories in 2025.
Wyndham Championship picks 2025: Sleepers/Dark Horses Who Could Win
Tour coach: Alex Smalley (80-1, BetRivers) — The Duke boy will have the home-crowd support. He’s very familiar with this golf course and playing out of this Bermuda rough. It’s a big week and a great opportunity entering the week 77th in the FedEx Cup.
Mayo: Chris Kirk (110-1, FanDuel) — Kirk seemed prime for contention before a hiccup in the final round of the John Deere Classic and two pitiful rounds in Northern Ireland. He rebounded nicely in the Twin Cities last week and that was without the help of his usual fantastic putting. Something that should be improved upon at Sedgefield having gained more than 2.5 SG/putting in two of his past three Wyndham starts.
Gdula: Andrew Novak (70-1, FanDuel) — Novak is a Carolina guy and should start playing better at Sedgefield – or putting better, that is. He’s gained tee-to-green in all three career starts here but hasn’t putted well on the greens. His putting has improved greatly since last year.
Stewart: Chris Kirk (110-1, FanDuel) — We have a wedge-fest on Bermudagrass, so let’s dial in Chris Kirk. He finished T-14 at the 3M Open, gaining six strokes on approach and nearly seven strokes tee-to-green. The putter was a problem early in the season, but Chris has improved with the flat stick and gained in five straight starts. With Kirk’s wedge game and plenty of experience at Sedgefield, this southeast-style golfer will be in the mix on Sunday. He should be, considering Kirk also sits at 73rd on the FEC points list.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Emiliano Grillo (70-1, FanDuel) — Brian Campbell broke my heart, robbing Grillo of a win at the John Deere. On a similar, positional type course, Grillo deserves another look as he’s top 20 in driving accuracy and is great with his short irons. A bad Saturday cost him a chance at the 3M where I was also on him. We must get back on the horse.
Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (110-1, FanDuel) — Triple-digit odds while showing some recent form? That’s the perfect Chris Kirk zone, folks.
Lack: Austin Eckroat (110-1, FanDuel) — Similar to Bezuidenhout, Austin Eckroat always has my attention on positional courses that reward accuracy off the tee, as this is one of Eckroat’s strongest skills. The Oklahoma native is also flushing his irons, gaining over three strokes on approach in three straight starts, and he has already recorded a seventh-place finish at Sedgefield in one of his three appearances.
Wyndham Championship picks 2025: Players We’re Fading
Tour coach: Ben Griffin (22-1, Bet365) — He’s had such an exceptional year, but I think he’s cooled down and is back to playing regular golf. The value is just not here.
Mayo: Aaron Rai (22-1, FanDuel) — His game was in much better shape this time last year leading to his breakthrough win. Usually near the tops of the tour tee-to-green, he’s been wildly inconsistent in 2025 yet is still priced as a favorite.
Gdula: Aaron Rai (22-1, FanDuel) — I typically like Aaron Rai a lot, but his odds are too short for a player with his profile, which is that of a high-floor, lower-ceiling player historically.
Stewart: Ben Griffin (22-1, Bet365) — I think the Ryder Cup race is starting to affect Ben Griffin’s golf game. A two-time winner this summer, Griffin is now inventing ways to miss the cut. A faulty putter at the John Deere and a stray driver at the Open have kept him home on weekends. Ben loves Bermudagrass and has had great success at Sedgefield, but I fear that the pressure and focus on him being one of the favorites at Wyndham are too much for him to keep contending week after week.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Aaron Rai (22-1, FanDuel) — Max Greyserman gifted me an expected win with Rai last year. But Rai’s not playing as well as he was last year, and these odds aren’t nearly as attractive.
Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (22-1, Bet365) — I can see Griffin righting the ship after consecutive missed cuts, especially after some much needed time off. But righting the ship and winning as one of the favorites are two very different things. No thanks.
Lack: Robert MacIntyre (30-1, Caesars Sportsbook) — Robert MacIntyre has been playing some incredible golf of late, but I am not sold on him as a traditional course fit at Sedgefield, where he has struggled immensely in both of his two appearances. I prefer MacIntyre on more wide open, driver-heavy style golf courses that provide some leeway for him with the big stick, and Sedgefield is the very opposite of that.
Eakin Howard
Eakin Howard
Micciche Photography
Eakin Howard
Eakin Howard
Eakin Howard
Icon Sportswire
Wyndham Championship picks 2025: Matchups
Tour coach: Lucas Glover (-139) over Kurt Kitayama (Bet365) — I love Lucas in this matchup. He always plays well at Sedgefield no matter what the state of his game is. Kitayama will have a bit of a comedown post-win, whereas Lucas had an off week, so he’ll be well-rested entering a week he always circles.
Mayo: Jacob Bridgeman (+105) over Taylor Moore (Coolbet) — I’ll take the accuracy and putting combo over the spray off the tee and bad irons combo.
Gdula: Nicolai Hojgaard (-115) over Michael Thorbjornsen (FanDuel) — Thorbjornsen really just leads in off-the-tee play here, and that’s not enough to rate out better in my head-to-head model against Hojgaard, who is the better iron player and putter.
Stewart: Pierceson Coody (-120) over Michael Thorbjornsen (Bet365) — Michael Thorbjornsen has been struggling with his iron game. Need 20 under to compete at the Wyndham? Thorbjornsen will need to cure his approach problems quickly. Pierceson Coody has learned a valuable lesson this summer; he can contend on the PGA Tour. Sixteenth at Colonial and T-3 at the 3M, all of those top 10s on the Korn Ferry Tour are starting to translate.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Emiliano Grillo (-111) over Cameron Young (Bet365) — I explained why I’m betting Grillo this week. This is not the place I’d want to back Cameron Young with this propensity to miss big off the tee. He had a great stretch through the U.S. Open and then has really struggled.
Powers, Golf Digest: Max Greyserman (+100) over Sungjae Im (DraftKings) — Greyserman’s weak showing across the pond has him as an underdog here when he very much shouldn’t be. Sungjae has one top 20 finish since April and continues to hit his irons like crap. I expect Greyserman to return to his pre-UK form this week at Wyndham, the site of his runner-up finish a year ago.
Lack: Lucas Glover (-120) over Jordan Spieth (DraftKings) — Lucas Glover is a former champion of this event who also happens to be in excellent form. Glover has finished top 25 at both the John Deere Classic and Open Championship, gaining significantly in both ball-striking categories in each start. Glover’s accuracy off the tee and elite middle iron play always makes him a threat at this old school, Donald Ross layout.
Matchup Results from the 3M Open: Lack: 1 for 1 (Champ (+110) over Im); Powers: 1 for 1 (Knapp (-120) over Scott); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Grillo (-105) over Thompson); Stewart: 1 for 1 (Grillo (-105) over Thompson); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Grillo (-105) over Thompson); Tour coach: 0 for 1; Mayo: 0 for 1
Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Tour coach: 14-11-2 (up 3.21 units); Lack: 15-13-1 (up 1.16 units); Powers: 15-14-1 (up 0.55 units); Hennessey: 15-14-1 (down 0.39 units); Stewart: 13-16-1 (down 3.55 units); Mayo: 11-16-2 (down 4.38 units); Gdula: 11-17-2 (down 7.31 units)
More from Golf Digest
Wyndham Championship picks 2025: Top 10s
Tour coach: Harry Hall (+475, Bet365) — Harry’s played well all year, and this should be a great course fit where hitting fairways is a must. I love the work he did with Butch Harmon early in the year to get him to believe he’s one of the class players in a field like this.
Mayo: Harry Hall (+475, Bet365) — While not always the most accurate with the smokewagon, Hall actually values to 11th off the tee at less than driver courses over the past four months. Combine that with his elite wedges and putting, and Hall’s the prototype of a successful player at Sedgefield.
Gdula: Denny McCarthy (+500, FanDuel) — McCarthy hasn’t missed a cut in America since the 2024 PGA Championship, and his last non-major missed cut on U.S. soil was in March 2024. His balanced profile keeps him lively each week, and he has three career top 25s at Sedgefield in seven starts.
Stewart: Matt Fitzpatrick (+295, BetRivers) — Take a solid favorite and keep cashing the top 10 bets. Matt Fitzpatrick is showing all kinds of form. He has three straight top 10s on very different venues. Eighth at the Rocket Classic, T4 at the Genesis Scottish Open, and another T4 at the Open Championship. Forty-third on the FedEx Cup list and no guarantee for the European side at the Ryder Cup, Fitzpatrick has plenty to keep him motivated in Greensboro.
Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+300, Bet365) — He has a big edge tee-to-green on the field, as Gdula pointed out with his outright pick. The wedge play has also been very good. I’m not sure that I trust his Bermuda putting numbers to win, but I can definitely see a top finish. Also bet him first-round leader paired with two Ryder Cup hopefuls in Griffin and Novak. I can see him going full alpha in Round 1 as he’s been known to do.
Powers, Golf Digest: Tom Kim (+700, FanDuel) — Tom Kim has been ultra quiet this year but has silently found some form with his irons over the last few starts, resulting in a 17th in Scotland and a 28th last week in Minnesota. Now he returns to the site of his first PGA Tour victory with a bit of confidence.
Lack: Davis Thompson (+250, DraftKings) — It has been a disappointing season for Davis Thompson, as he has notched only one top-10 finish on the year, which came at the Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass, another golf course that bears a lot in common with Sedgefield. This is the perfect buy-low spot however for Thompson, who is entering this week on the heels of back-to-back disappointing missed cuts. I will still take my chances on the talent on course fit at this appetizing positional number.
Top-10 results from the 3M Open: Lack: 1 for 1 (Kurt Kitayama +400); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Jake Knapp +400); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Jake Knapp +400); Stewart: 1 for 1 (Chris Gotterup +320); Everybody else: 0 for 1
Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 10 for 30 (up 16.3 units); Tour coach: 7 for 27 (up 14.3 units); Lack: 9 for 30 (up 13.3 units); Stewart: 10 for 30 (up 7.6 units); Mayo: 5 for 30 (up 5.67 units); Hennessey: 6 for 29 (up 4 units); Powers: 0 for 30 (down 30 units)
About our experts
Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME.
Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for numberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13.
Keith Stewart is a five-time award-winning PGA professional, a betting contributor for Golf Digest and founder of Read The Line, the premier on-site live golf betting insights service covering the LPGA and PGA TOUR. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter here and raise your golf betting acumen. Keith's winning content can also be found on Sports Grid, Bleacher Report and The Sporting News. Follow him on Twitter @readtheline_.
Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Andy is the founder and CEO of Inside Sports Network, a website devoted to the predictive quality of advanced analytics and golf course architecture. He came to Golf Digest’s betting panel after previously writing for Run Pure Sports, RickRunGood.com, the Score and GolfWRX. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports.
