sony open
This wild stat shows just how slim the chances were of Nick Taylor winning the Sony Open

Maddie Meyer
Nick Taylor, standing on the 18th tee Sunday at the Sony Open in Hawaii, essentially had no shot to win, according to computations from Data Golf. Forty-five minutes later he had captured his fifth PGA Tour victory. Is that golf for you, or what?
Data Golf's website, which has become a go-to data source for many golf insiders, said that Taylor had a .4 chance to win while he was on the 72nd hole. That’s basically a one in 250 chance.
Yes, the others around him faltered down the stretch, but Taylor created some heroics of his own. First, he chipped in for eagle on the par-5 home hole, putting him in the clubhouse at 16-under-par total.
Nico Echavarria finished par, birdie to tie Taylor at 16 under at the end of 72 holes. Then J.J. Spaun and Stephan Jaeger, who were two shots ahead of Taylor when the statistics spit out the Canadian's .4 percentage, both played the last three holes in one over par. Neither man birdied the relatively easy par-5 18th hole. Spaun finished par, bogey, par. Jaeger finished bogey, par, par.
They both were one shot out of the playoff after leading most of the day.
Taylor and Echavarria both made birdie on the first playoff hole—playing the 18th continuously until there was a winner—then Taylor pitched his third shot close for an easy birdie the second time around, while Echavarria missed a birdie attempt from seven feet.
Taylor, 36, won the WM Phoenix Open last year, his fourth tour title, but has struggled since that point, and even missed the International Presidents Cup team last fall in his beloved Canada. Since that win he has failed to collect another top 10 finish and has 11 missed cuts.
None of that matters now, however, and the fact that the only had a .4 percent chance to win is nothing more than a fun fact that can amuse Taylor while he’s holding his trophy.