If he plays like he did at Hoylake or Firestone? No. McIlroy is in a groove with his driver similar to the one he found at the end of the 2012 season, when he won the PGA Championship and two FedEx Cup Playoff events. In Akron, he averaged 334.8 yards off the tee and was routinely splitting Firestone's narrow fairways. Going against him is his record after winning a major. The first two times he won a major, McIlroy finished no better than T-25 in his next three major starts. We're not swayed by such a small sample size, though. McIlroy is a heavy favorite (5-to-1 odds at most sports books) and for good reason.