Starters -- (A-List): Rory McIlroy. The World No. 1 is back. At an event where he's gone Win-Wisdom Tooth WD-runner-up the past three years. Don't overthink this.
(B-List): Graeme McDowell. We'll go with another Northern Irelander making his first start of 2015. G-Mac only finished T-46 here last year, but he went T-6, T-9, T-9 the previous three.
(B-List): Justin Rose. Missed last year with a bad shoulder, but finished in the top five in his three previous trips to the Bear Trap. Missed the cut at his only other 2015 PGA Tour start at Torrey Pines, but he's still Justin Rose.
(C-List): Keegan Bradley. We gave Bradley some love last week and he rewarded us by rallying on Sunday to finish T-4. The final round has actually been his problem at PGA National, but he's still managed two T-12s and a T-4 in his last three starts there.
Bench/Backups: Brooks Koepka, Paul Casey, Rickie Fowler, Russell Henley.
Knockout/One-and-done pick: Paul Casey. Rory and Rose are the safer picks, but we'd rather save those big guns for major season. Instead, we'll go with Casey, who lost in that playoff at Riviera, but still picked up his first top 10 on the PGA Tour since 2011. The former third-ranked player in the world has been on a steady rise back (he won the KLM Open on the European Tour in September) after a few injury-plagued seasons, and he also has a solid track record at the Honda with a T-12 last year and a T-4 in 2010. Plus, Casey and his fiancee, Pollyanna Woodward, just had their first son in September, so we should be safe on that front.
Previously used: Jason Day (Famers -- WINNER!), Bill Haas (Riviera), Charles Howell III (Sony), Dustin Johnson (Pebble), Geoff Ogilvy (Hyundai), Ryan Palmer (Humana), Brendan Steele (Phoenix).