Starters -- (A-List): Bubba Watson. You'd think I'd learn my lesson in underestimating Haas, but I'm going with Bubba in this spot. Watson should have won here last year and his firepower at the score-friendly TPC Scottsdale makes him the favorite. Tiger is also listed in the A category, but despite his assurance he's hit "thousands of chips," I can't get those chunks from the last time we saw him out of my memory.
(B-List): Rickie Fowler. A runner-up here in 2010, Fowler has missed the cut in his last two trips to Phoenix. But those were before he fully morphed into Rickie 2.0 under Butch Harmon and started contending basically every time he tees it up. We're banking on win No. 2.0 when this orange butterfly spreads his wings in the desert -- or, something like that.
(B-List): Hideki Matsuyama. It's just a matter of time before last year's Memorial champ wins again. After the Japanese star finished T-4 in his first go-round at TPC Scottsdale last year, this seems like a logical place to do it.
(C-List): Brendan Steele. Tough call here over red-hot rookie Justin Thomas, but Steele's TPC Scottsdale track record is just too good. In the last three years he's finished T-5, T-6 and T-6.
Bench/Backups: Bill Haas, Matt Kuchar, Phil Mickelson, and Justin Thomas.
Knockout/One-and-done pick: Brendan Steele. Belly putters everywhere can look to Brendan for inspiration. He made the switch to a regular putter last summer and he hasn't looked back, including a runner-up at last week's Humana Challenge. (*Looks up Steele's strokes gained/putting to see he only ranks 131st*). Hmm. Well, that is, if you make the switch AND improve everything else about your golf game, you'll be fine. . .
Previously used: Charles Howell III (Sony), Geoff Ogilvy (Hyundai), Ryan Palmer (Humana).